Friday 13 July 2012

FTSE100 and FTSE350 Stocks

Using the new adjustment rate outlined here, I have updated the lists for the FTSE 100, I've also run the screen on the FTSE 350 (FTSE100 and FTSE 250).

Here is the top ten for the FTSE 100:


Stock
Price
Div
Total Return
Trend
Insider Dealings
RSA Insurance
109.40p
8.47%
9.41%
Down
-£810,946
ICAP
309.80p
7.10%
8.11%
Down
£29,212
BAE Systems
306.70p
6.27%
7.91%
Down
-£123,633
AstraZeneca
2,933.50p
6.25%
6.85%
Down
-£781,859
Morrisons 
268.60p
4.02%
6.84%
Down
-£605,243
Legal & General
129.30p
5.04%
6.58%
Up
-£1,971,370
WPP
797.00p
3.13%
6.40%
Up
£8,125
Tesco
313.10p
4.69%
6.30%
Down
-£5,583,677
Antofagasta
1,069.00p
1.25%
5.86%
Down

Old Mutual
156.30p
3.26%
5.81%
Up
-£3,264,202

I've ranked the stocks in order of total expected returns. I've also included the current trend based on 100 day high/low prices. The final column gives insider (director) net buying or selling of their stock in the last 12 months.

The media company WPP is the only stock in the list that has positive price action and no significant insider selling. Below is the recent price chart for WPP:



If we extend our search to include the FTSE 250 mid cap stocks the top ten looks like this:


Stock
Price
Div
Total Return
Trend
Insider Dealings
KCOM Group
73.65p
5.52%
11.52%
Down
£92,652
RSA Insurance Group
109.40p
8.47%
9.41%
Down
-£810,946
Micro Focus International
535.50p
3.83%
9.29%
Up
£263,821
Computacenter
305.40p
4.92%
8.85%
Down
-£708,974
Chemring Group
279.90p
5.32%
8.77%
Down
£21,242
WH Smith
549.00p
4.20%
8.69%
Down
-£4,555,100
ICAP
309.80p
7.10%
8.11%
Down
£29,212
BAE Systems
306.70p
6.27%
7.91%
Down
-£123,633
TUI Travel
167.80p
6.84%
7.91%
Down
-£2,702,211
Interserve
331.40p
5.69%
7.03%
Up
-£310,416

Here Micro Focus appears to be the most appealing at present:


At the bottom of the table we have these stocks:

 
Stock
Price
Div
Total Return
Trend
Insider Dealings
Tullow Oil
1,432.00p
0.84%
-11.68%
Up
£165,335
Fresnillo
1,449.00p
4.75%
-9.70%
Down

Derwent London
1,909.00p
1.66%
-8.43%
Up
-£2,372,728
Shaftesbury
534.00p
2.12%
-7.28%
Up
-£891,517
ARM Holdings
491.10p
0.72%
-7.09%
Down
-£10,378,451
Hansteen Holdings
71.05p
5.64%
-6.98%
Down

Genus
1,284.00p
1.04%
-5.73%
Up
-£2,238,852
Hays
67.10p
8.65%
-5.15%
Down
-£471,072
Dialight
1,000.00p
1.01%
-4.61%
Up
-£4,631,427
Rightmove
1,582.00p
1.16%
-4.16%
Up
-£18,721,728


A lot of the stocks that look overvalued have strong up trends (making them even more overvalued). Fresnillo and ARM are currently starting down trends after having very solid growth over the last few years.



These look overvalued by our model's valuation. I personally wouldn't short either of them but their high valuations, and in the case of ARM the high insider selling, make them unattractive to buy at these levels.

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